2021 USPGA Championship – Golf Picks, Predictions & Odds

We have expert betting tips for the 2021 PGA Championship this week. It’s one of the biggest golf tournaments of the year and bookmakers have incredible value available.

Leading the betting is Rory McIlroy, who has steadily firmed throughout the week. The Northern Irishman has been in winning form and he demands attention.

There are plenty of quality golfers out to win the second major of the year and we look at the best betting chances.


USPGA Championship Golf Predictions

2021 PGA Championship Winner – Rory McIlroy

It took a long time but Rory McIlroy got back to winning form in the Wells Fargo Championship two weeks ago.

He shot –10 to hold off Abraham Ancer and Victor Hovland, so it came against a quality field and his confidence will be through the roof.

Getting the proverbial monkey off his back should have released a lot of pressure. He is one of the world’s best golfers, and much like Jordan Spieth, he was always going to recapture his best.

The 32-year-old has shot to the top of the PGA Championship market and we’re not surprised. He always attracts attention with bookmakers and although $12 is about as low as we would take, we’re happy to have him on our ticket.

Punters should expect a good tournament and if he gets the putter rolling, he could win by a margin.

Bet: Rory McIlroy

2021 PGA Championship Value Bet – Daniel Berger

Daniel Berger isn’t a player everyone will have on their PGA Championship ticket, but he should be.

The American finished third at the AT&T Bryon Nelson last week and that should have him ready to fire at Kiawah Island this week.

The 28-year-old is a multiple winner on the PGA Tour and although yet to win a major, we feel as though it’s only a matter of time. He has been close on numerous occasions and he wouldn’t look out of place winning the PGA.

Punters get value odds for Berger, who is currently trading at $31. We expect those odds to shorten throughout the week and he tees off early on Friday morning, so he could set a good score and firm considerably.

Bet: Daniel Berger

2021 PGA Championship Best Value – Sam Burns

Sam Burns is in a rich vein of form after winning the Valspar Championship and following it up with a second in the Byron Nelson.

The 24-year-old is still a youngster, but he’s full of confidence and he could be the Collin Morikawa of 2021. Morikawa was a PGA Tour winner before scoring his PGA Championship victory, so the form guides are similar.

Our only concern is his lack of experience playing in major tournaments, but Burns is worth following and the odds are appealing.

Bookmakers have Burns at $46 and that price is burning a hole in our wallet.

Bet: Sam Burns

2021 PGA Championship First Round Leader – Paul Casey

Paul Casey is often overlooked in betting markets but he could get off to a flying start on Friday morning.

The experienced golfer has 21 wins under his belt and although yet to win a major, there is no golfer more deserving. He owns nine top 10 finished in majors, including the 2020 PGA Championship behind Collin Morikawa.

Leading after the first round requires luck on the punter’s behalf, but backing Casey should give you a good sight. He often gets off to a fast start and his early morning tee time should result in ideal conditions.

Punters get $51 and that’s worth snapping up.

Bet: Paul Casey

PGA Championship Top Australian Player – Cameron Smith

We think Cameron Smith is the clear favourite and he wouldn’t look out of place winning the tournament.

Smith currently heads this betting market over Zurich Classic-winning teammate Marc Leishman. The form in solo tournaments is better for Smith, who recorded a top 10 finish at the RBC Heritage last month.

Leishman and his fellow Australians haven’t performed up to the level of Smith this season, so we’re going with the Queenslander.

He is currently paying $3.20 to beat the likes of Leishman, Scott, Day, Jones and Davis, which is a value price.

Bet: Cameron Smith

PGA Championship Top 20 – Robert MacIntyre

We are keen on following Robert MacIntyre and the Scottish youngster could be a PGA Tour winner if he committed to playing in the US.

He comes off a top 10 finish at the British Masters and his effort at The Masters in Georgia was outstanding. MacIntyre finished T12 at Augusta, which given his inexperience was an incredible outing.

He is capable of producing a top 20 performance at Kiawah Island and we’ll happily take the $5.50 available.

Bet: Robert MacIntyre

Daryl Curnow
About the Author: Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. Coupled with his love of US sport, Daryl’s picks have been featured on various websites around the world and viewed by millions of readers. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NBA, NFL, and college sports. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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