We have expert betting tips for the 2021 The American Express, where some of the world’s best golfers do battle in the desert at La Quinta, California.
It’s the first tournament of the year that hasn’t been held in Hawaii, and punters get an even betting field to enjoy.
Patrick Cantlay heads the betting, but there are a host of players looking to win the eagerly-awaited PGA Tour tournament.
The American Express Golf Predictions
2021 The American Express Winner – Matthew Wolff
Matthew Wolff hasn’t played since missing the cut at The Masters in November, but the talented American doesn’t need time to find his best golf.
The 21-year-old is already a winner on the PGA Tour, with his lone win coming at the 2019 3M Open. He has since recorded numerous top performances, including a second placing at the Shriners in October.
His recent form hasn’t been up to his usual standard, but we put that down to fatigue. The break should have done him some good, and Wolff could come out firing this week.
Playing in the desert should suit his style, as he can clear any danger with his length. We rank Wolff as a $14 chance, so punters get value odds at the $17 quote.
2021 The American Express Value Bet – Patrick Reed
It’s not easy to like Patrick Reed, but he is often a good betting proposition. The 2018 Masters winner finished 10 shots off the pace at the Tournament of Champions, but he played well.
It was only last month when he finished third in the World Tour Championship in Dubai, so he’s in form and he’s one of the most consistent performers on the PGA Tour.
Since finishing at +8 in the BMW Championship in August, Reed has recorded six top-10 finishes from seven tournaments. That is an incredibly consistent record, and it’s no wonder his confidence is through the roof.
There is no way Reed should be a $17 chance, so punters can cash in the value odds.
2021 The American Express Longer Odds – Rickie Fowler
Rickie Fowler is in desperation mode as he needs a big performance to make The Masters later this year.
It has been tough going for Fowler over the last couple of years. He once looked like a star in the making, but his inability to finish off tournaments is a concern.
However, the 32-year-old has the class to overcome his demons and produce a good performance at The American Express this week.
It would be a great if Fowler could win and make the major tournaments this year, so we’ll give him one last chance to show off his skills.
2021 The American Express Long Shot – Paul Casey
Paul Casey has been on tour for a long time, and he continues to produce consistent results.
The 43-year-old reached number three in the world in 2009, and although that was 12 years ago, his class remains permanent.
The most recent tournament was The Masters, where he made the cut. In August, he finished second at the PGA Championship behind Collin Morikawa, which shows he can still compete on the big stage.
Casey often plays well in the desert, so the $46 should be taken and if he starts well on Friday, those odds will firm considerably.
The American Express Top Australian Player – Cameron Davis
Australia is represented by five players in the field this week, including our top pick Cameron Davis.
The 25-year-old played well at the Sony Open last week, and after some disappointing results in 2020, it was good to see.
His biggest danger will be Matt Jones, but Davis has plenty of upside, and his game should work nicely on the two courses being played this week.
$2.75 is an accurate reflection of how well he is playing, and he could head home the Australian charge in California.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. Coupled with his love of US sport, Daryl’s picks have been featured on various websites around the world and viewed by millions of readers. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NBA, NFL, and college sports. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.