We have expert betting predictions for Week 11 of the 2021 NFL season, which starts with the Patriots vs Falcons.
There are 15 games this week for punters to enjoy, so the betting opportunities are endless. We preview every game for all 18 weeks of the regular season and the playoffs.
NFL Week 11 Picks
New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons @ Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Punters get good value with the New England Patriots, who we believe are the much better team.
They are 6-4 and have looked good on the road with a perfect 4-0 record. The –6.5 line is generous and we priced them around –9.5.
Atlanta shouldn’t pose too much of a threat in the opening game of Week 11.
Betting tip: New England Patriots –6.5
Patriots by 10
Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills @ Highmark Stadium
The Buffalo Bills have been a touch inconsistent over the last few weeks, but they should take care of the Colts at home.
Buffalo is a much better team at home and we don’t have much faith in Carson Wentz, especially in a high intensity situation.
Take the Bills to score a double-digit win.
Betting tip: Buffalo Bills –7.5
Bills by 13
Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears @ Soldier Field
We’re not sure what to make of Baltimore’s most recent effort, but we don’t think they will struggle to beat Chicago.
Lamar Jackson and the offence is too explosive for a struggling Bears outfit, who have done well just to win three games this season.
The line is relatively low considering Baltimore is a short-priced favourite to win their division.
Betting tip: Baltimore Ravens –4.5
Ravens by 10
Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns @ FirstEnergy Stadium
The Browns were pumped last week, but they get an ideal chance of redemption against the lowly Detroit Lions.
The Lions could be looking for a new quarterback in the NFL Draft after Jared Goff hasn’t been the fix they were desperately wanting.
Cleveland has the power to score a huge win against a team that clearly doesn’t want to be on the field.
Betting tip: Cleveland Browns –11.5
Browns by 17
Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans @ Nissan Stadium
Despite not having Derrick Henry for the last two games, it hasn’t slowed down the Titans, who could be Super Bowl bound.
They are 8-2 and facing a Houston Texans outfit that is 1-8 won’t pose any threats to their impressive record.
We are surprised the line is only –10, but bookmakers could assume the top players from the Titans might be rested. Even so, we can’t see the Texans keeping up.
Betting tip: Tennessee Titans -10
Titans by 18
Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings @ U.S. Bank Stadium
We love what the Green Bay Packers are offering and we give them the edge in the fierce rivalry.
The 8-2 Packers have been a mixed bag lately, mostly due to Aaron Rodgers missing time with Covid, but we expect them to outmuscle the Vikings.
Minnesota has also been a mixed bag, and you never know what you’re going to get from Kirk Cousins. We can’t trust him, so take the visitors.
Betting tip: Green Bay Packers -2
Packers by 7
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets @ MetLife Stadium
It’s not the marquee game of the week and we don’t blame punters for being undecided.
Miami was much better last week when beating the Ravens, but just when you think you have this team figured out, they lose.
It’s a tough game to cap, but take the Dolphins based on their recent success.
Betting tip: Miami Dolphins
Dolphins by 3
New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles @ Lincoln Financial Field
The Eagles have been well-backed many times this season and they have yet to win at home.
It’s a concerning statistic, but we’re prepared to take the risk and back them to beat the visiting New Orleans Saints.
The Saints are on the downward trend and they could be a risky bet at this stage of the season.
Betting tip: Philadelphia Eagles –1.5
Eagles by 7
Washington Football Team vs Carolina Panthers @ Bank of America Stadium
Carolina looked reenergised with Cam Newton back in the team and it could propel them to another win.
The victory over Arizona was expected as it was missing Kyler Murray, but it was still a quality performance when they most needed it.
Momentum is big and we’re confident the Panthers can continue their winning ways.
Betting tip: Carolina Panthers –3.5
Panthers by 7
San Francisco 49ers vs Jacksonville Jaguars @ TIAA Bank Field
The 49ers looked like potential Super Bowl champions against the Rams last week, but can they keep it up?
The Jaguars haven’t shown much this season at 2-7, and we couldn’t put our hard-earned money on a poor team.
The betting line is only six points, so we expect the 49ers to win by at least a touchdown.
Betting tip: San Francisco 49ers -6
49ers by 10
Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders @ Allegiant Stadium
The Raiders beat themselves last week and they are one of the hardest teams to follow.
They have lost our trust, and although the Bengals haven’t been rock-solid, they are the more exciting team to follow over the second half of the season.
Joe Burrow outranks Derek Carr at the moment, so take the visitors.
Betting tip: Cincinnati Bengals –1
Bengals by 7
Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs @ GEHA Field
The Chiefs have picked up their after scoring three consecutive wins, but the Dallas Cowboys will be a stiff test.
Dallas showed what they can do last week and anything close to that effort should see them beat the Chiefs, who still haven’t looked overly impressive.
Patrick Mahomes doesn’t have the receivers he once had, so take Dallas to score the road upset.
Betting tip: Dallas Cowboys +2.5
Cowboys by 3
Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks @ Lumen Field
The Cardinals are the better team, but Kyler Murray might need a couple of games to get back to his best.
It’s a desperate situation for the Seahawks, who would fall to 3-7 with a loss. Given the situation, we’re prepared to take the risk and back Seattle to win.
They aren’t often home underdogs, so take the value.
Betting tip: Seattle Seahawks +2.5
Seahawks by 6
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers @ SoFi Stadium
We thought the Chargers will continue to play well after a good start, but they have regressed somewhat.
Pittsburgh has done the opposite, and although it’s the road underdog, we think the Steelers could cover the spread.
Justin Herbert won’t get clean passing lanes in the pocket, so Pittsburgh’s defence could make some big plays.
Betting tip: Pittsburgh Steelers +5.5
Steelers by 3
New York Giants vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Raymond James Stadium
Tom Brady should be back to his best after an awful game last week. The Buccaneers didn’t look like themselves, but they don’t often play poorly twice in a row.
A bounce back effort is made easier by playing the Giants, so punters should expect an emphatic win from the home side.
Betting tip: Tampa Bay Buccaneers –11
Buccaneers by 17
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. Coupled with his love of US sport, Daryl’s picks have been featured on various websites around the world and viewed by millions of readers. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NBA, NFL, and college sports. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.