We have expert betting predictions for the Conference Championship of the 2020/2021 NFL season, which starts on Monday.
There are only four teams left in a bid to make the Super Bowl. Unsurprisingly, they are four of the best offensive teams in the NFL.
We preview Buccaneers vs. Packers and Bills vs. Chiefs, and provide our best betting tips for each game.
NFL Conference Championships Preview
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers @ Lambeau Field
Tom Brady delivered an excellent performance when beating the Saints last week, and he comes up against a familiar rival on Monday.
Aaron Rodgers, the current $1.02 favourite to win MVP, has had an incredible season, and the Packers have been the most underrated team in 2020/2021.
The Packers have lost only one game at Lambeau Field, and it has always been a fortress. Making things better for the Packers are the cold conditions, which Rodgers thrives in.
However, Tom Brady is no stranger to playing in the cold. He might be playing out of Florida now, but he spent the majority of his career in the cold depths of Boston.
It’s not all about the quarterbacks, as the talented receivers make for an interesting game. Green Bay has Davante Adams, who is having a career-best season.
Adams is scored 18 touchdowns, and he’s on the same page as Rodgers. The duo has clicked throughout the season, which has been terrific to watch.
Packers’ running back Aaron Jones has also stepped up to the mark with a 1104-yard rushing season. Those three players are tough to overlook, which is why the Packers will be tough to beat.
Tampa Bay has Mike Evans, who has battled injuries over the last few weeks. However, he has still scored 13 touchdowns, including one against the Saints last week.
Both teams are coming off impressive Divisional Round wins. Tampa Bay looked slightly better than Green Bay, but the Packers put 32 points on one of the best defenses in the NFL, so it was a top performance.
Bookmakers have Green Bay as the $1.57 favourites after opening around $1.49. It’s no surprise to see money coming for a Tom Brady team, but stick with the Packers.
They have all the makings of a Super Bowl-winning team, and playing at home only gives us more confidence.
Betting tip: Packers -3
Packers by 7
Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs @ Arrowhead Stadium
Buffalo produced one of its finest performances when beating Baltimore last week, and we would have them as favourites for this game.
The 17-3 win was a defensive masterclass on one of the best offensive teams in the NFL. Holding Lamar Jackson to only a field goal was an incredible turnaround on the 24 points given up against Indianapolis a week earlier.
Josh Allen is easily the most improved player this season, and his 37-touchdown season is only one shy of matching that of Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes.
The big news out of the Chiefs’ win over Cleveland was the concussion of Mahomes. It’s unsure if he will be able to play this game, which would severely damage the chances of Kansas City winning.
Even if Mahomes plays, he was clearly below his best against the Browns. He was nursing a leg injury, and there isn’t the same spark as there was last season.
Adding to the injured list is Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who missed the game last week. If they are without their running back again, it could spell disaster.
One thing going for the Chiefs is their defense, which held up strong for most of the game. They got tired late in the game, but that was to be expected with Nick Chubb running at you for 60 minutes.
We are not surprised to see Kansas City open as favourites at $1.69, but with the doubt surrounding Patrick Mahomes, we can’t take that price.
Buffalo has shown an ability to win big games throughout the season, and there seems to be a sense of destiny about this team.
Take the $2.17 available in the head-to-head market, because if Mahomes is out, that price will drop to around $1.60.
Betting tip: Bills to win
Bills by 7
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. Coupled with his love of US sport, Daryl’s picks have been featured on various websites around the world and viewed by millions of readers. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NBA, NFL, and college sports. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.