NBA SGP Picks – Clippers vs. Magic SGP & Best Bets

The Orlando Magic travel to face the LA Clippers on Sunday, February 22 at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California, with tip-off scheduled for 9:00pm ET.

These teams have already met once this season, with Orlando getting the better of the Clippers in a lopsided win back in Florida. This time around, the spot looks very different. The Magic are coming off a demanding double-overtime game in Phoenix and now have to head west on no rest, while the Clippers return home with question marks around their rotation but a clear scheduling edge.

Injury-wise, Kawhi Leonard is listed as a game-time decision, while Orlando could again be without Franz Wagner, with Jalen Suggs also under an injury cloud. That combination makes this a tricky game to price, but there are still a few angles worth attacking.

Best Bet: Under 215.5 Points (-110)

The under 215.5 points looks like the most reliable angle in this matchup.

Orlando is coming off a double-overtime road game and now has to travel cross-country. That’s rarely a recipe for sharp shooting or sustained offensive rhythm, particularly late in games when legs start to go. Even if the Magic compete early, fatigue tends to show in shot selection and transition defense as the game wears on.

On the other side, the Clippers are dealing with uncertainty around Kawhi Leonard. Whether he plays or not, it’s hard to see Los Angeles pushing the tempo aggressively in this spot. Without a fully healthy roster, the Clippers are more comfortable grinding games out in the half-court rather than turning things into a track meet. With both teams leaning toward slower, more deliberate possessions, 215.5 feels a touch too high.

Same Game Parlay

Clippers Moneyline (-145)
Under 215.5 (-110)
Bennedict Mathurin 22.5+ Points (-120)
Brook Lopez 5.5+ Rebounds (-118)
Anthony Black 15.5+ Points (-115)

This same game parlay is built around a controlled Clippers win and a lower-scoring environment.

The Clippers’ moneyline pairs well with the under, particularly given Orlando’s schedule spot and the likelihood of tired legs late. Even if this game stays competitive, Los Angeles should have the fresher lineup down the stretch.

Mathurin’s scoring line stands out given his recent form. He’s shown the ability to take over stretches offensively and has been far more aggressive as a primary scoring option. With Orlando potentially missing key perimeter defenders, his path to 23 points is very realistic if he gets his usual volume.

Anthony Black’s points line also makes sense in this context. With Wagner sidelined and Suggs not guaranteed to play, Black’s offensive role becomes more stable. Even if Orlando’s efficiency dips, the minutes and usage should be there for him to reach the mid-teens.

Brook Lopez’s rebounding number rounds out the parlay nicely. In a slower-paced game with more missed shots, rebound opportunities naturally increase, and Lopez has been consistent on the glass in similar matchups.

Best Value: Derrick Jones Jr. Over 12.5 Points (-105)

Derrick Jones Jr. over 12.5 points is the standout value play on the board.

With frontcourt injuries forcing rotation adjustments, Jones has quietly taken on more offensive responsibility. He’s coming off a strong scoring performance and has shown that when his minutes climb, he doesn’t hesitate to attack the rim or take open looks from the corners.

At -105, this line doesn’t require anything out of the ordinary. If Jones gets his usual workload and stays involved offensively, this number is very reachable, especially against a Magic team that may struggle defensively late due to fatigue.

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About John Haydon

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