NBA Conference Finals Betting Picks – May 17th & 18th, 2022

We have betting tips for the NBA Conference Finals Game 1’s on Tuesday and Wednesday.

The Eastern Conference is between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat and the Western Conference Final is between the Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors.

We have our best bets for the opening games of both series.

NBA Conference Finals Betting Picks

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat @ FTX Arena

The Boston Celtics roared into the Eastern Conference Finals with a Game 7 win over the Milwaukee Bucks and their confidence levels are sky high.

There is always an argument about teams coming in off a tough game as opposed to teams coming in with rest. Miami has been sitting on their hands waiting for the Celtics and we don’t think that’s the best preparation.

The Heat have had longer to prepare for their opposition, but they might come out a bit flat. The Celtics should be fired up and ready to go, which is why they’re being respected with bookmakers.

They are $2.05 underdogs to win Game 1, but they’re favourites to win the series. Therefore, bookies expect the Celtics to win at least one game in Miami and it could be on Wednesday.

However, the Heat are tough to beat at home and they finished the regular season with a 29-12 record at FTX Arena. Beating the likes of Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro with home court advantage will test the Celtics, but they match up well.

Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown match up well as scoring options and Marcus Smart is one of the best defenders in the NBA, so the core is there. Boston doesn’t have a quality big man like the Heat as with Bam Adebayo, which is our only worry.

We think the Celtics win the series and take the opening game. We can’t turn down the $2.05 available and that line could firm to around $1.90 on game day.

Bet: Boston Celtics @ $2.05

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors @ Chase Centre

The Dallas Mavericks caused a big upset when beating the Phoenix Suns on Monday and when Luka Doncic is on the court, anything is possible.

They now have the tough task of playing the Golden State Warriors, who are well-rested and ready to show their NBA title credentials.

Golden State has been one of the more consistent teams throughout the year, which can’t be said for the Mavericks. The Warriors were always destined to make the Western Conference Finals and having the likes of Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, and Draymond Green helps.

Beating those three superstars will be tough for the Mavericks, who typically rely on a big performance from Doncic. They will need more of a team effort, but they’re not without a chance.

Bookmakers have the Warriors at $1.44 in match betting markets and –5.5 in points spread markets. We thought the Warriors would be around $1.30, but the sportsbook is giving the Mavericks win over Phoenix plenty of respect.

We respect the Mavericks but the Warriors should have too much class at home. It should be a competitive series and the Mavericks might win a couple of games, but the opening contest could be a blowout.

Take the Warriors –5.5 with confidence.

Bet: Golden State Warriors –5.5 @ $1.90

Daryl Curnow
About the Author: Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. Coupled with his love of US sport, Daryl’s picks have been featured on various websites around the world and viewed by millions of readers. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NBA, NFL, and college sports. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.