We have betting picks and predictions for Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Phoenix Suns and Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday.
Milwaukee bucked the trend and won on the road in Game 5, which sets it up with a potential NBA Championship-winning game.
We look at the best bets for the NBA Finals Game 6 at Fiserv Forum, where the Bucks are heavily favoured to win their first NBA title.
NBA Finals Game 6 Betting Tips
Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Game 6 Prediction
We were confident the Bucks would go into Phoenix and come out the other side with the 3-2 lead. They didn’t disappoint and it was an incredible effort after being down by 16 points after the first quarter.
Phoenix came out humming and they looked likely to kick on with it. However, the Bucks scored 43 points in the second quarter to take control and they never looked back. The 123-119 win was their best of the season and it puts them in a commanding position to win the NBA Championship.
Closing out the finals is never an easy task, especially for a team that has never been in this position. However, the Suns players haven’t been in this position either, so they even each other out.
The primary reason why the Bucks have won three straight games is size. They tower over the Suns in most positions and if the Suns don’t shoot well from the outside, they were always going to struggle.
Milwaukee has also figured out the pick-and-roll of the Suns, which caused it fits in the first two games. Unlike the Suns, the Bucks have changed their game plan on the run and the Suns are still trying to run the same offence.
Devin Booker is keeping up his end of the bargain after dropping 40 points, but he came up with a huge turnover late in the fourth quarter and it ultimately cost the Suns any chance of winning. We’re not putting the blame on Booker, however, as Chris Paul hasn’t been as dynamic over the last week.
If the Suns are going to cause an upset on Wednesday and win at $2.71, Paul will need to be at his best. The Suns could also do with some secondary shooting from Jae Crowder, Mikal Bridges and the bench, which was held to 15 points in Game 5.
Bookmakers have the Bucks at $1.47 to win the title, which is shorter than expected. However, playing at home helps and they have all the momentum. Not many teams come from 0-2 down, but the Bucks seem destined to win the title and Giannis Antetokounmpo should come away with Finals MVP for his consistent efforts.
We’re happy to take the Bucks –4.5. They will have to play well to cover the spread, but the spark has been taken out of the Suns and the NBA title could be heading Milwaukee’s way. We see no reason to jump off their backs after cashing in three consecutive games.
Bet: Milwaukee Bucks –4.5 @ $1.83
Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Game 6 Prop Bets
Punters get value odds with Milwaukee 11+ which pays $3.10. The Bucks are capable of putting the hurt on the Suns and their past performances at home have been dominant.
It is a risk, but punters get odds worth taking and the Bucks are good enough to close out the series in stunning fashion.
We also like Giannis Antetokounmpo to score 35+ points and the Bucks to win. We almost cashed with The Greek Freak in Game 5, but he was three points short of bringing home the $5.50. However, we’re sticking with the two-time MVP to get it done.
Punters get $3.30 for Giannis to score 35+ points and the Bucks to win, so the value is there.
Bookmakers have the Bucks at $1.47 to win, but why not take $1.67 for Giannis to have a double-double and the Bucks win? It would be a shock if he didn’t score a double-double, so there is tremendous value with this betting option at Sportsbet.
We also like P.J. Tucker to make a three-pointer and Milwaukee to win. Tucker hasn’t been an offensive powerhouse in this series, but he’s always waiting on the wings to knock down a three and we fancy his chances on Wednesday.
$2 is available for this betting option and it’s too good to pass up.
Our final Game 6 exotic play features the Bucks going wire-to-wire. It’s never easy to do, especially in such a big game, but we think the Bucks dominate the game from the outset. This option pays $2.70, so it’s worth having a play.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. Coupled with his love of US sport, Daryl’s picks have been featured on various websites around the world and viewed by millions of readers. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NBA, NFL, and college sports. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.