2021 NBA Finals Game 5 – Picks, Predictions & Odds

We have betting picks and predictions for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Milwaukee Bucks and Phoenix Suns on Saturday.

The series is tied at 2-2 and it now heads back to Phoenix, but can the Suns win at home and go one win closer to winning their first NBA title?

We look at the best bets for the NBA Finals Game 5 at Phoenix Suns Arena, where the Suns are favourites to score.

NBA Finals Game 5 Betting Tips

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Game 5 Prediction

We were wondering how long it would take for the teams to show some feeling and Game 4 delivered. Players started to get chippy and it was good to see, but the end result was Milwaukee coming away with the 109-103 victory.

It was a close game until the final few possessions. Phoenix had a six-point advantage after three quarters, but it was unable to captalise and put the Bucks to the sword. Instead, it was Giannis Antetokounmpo who came up with a big block on De’Andre Ayton to change the momentum of the game.

Now the focus shifts to Sunday’s game, which sees the Suns return home. They have yet to lose at Phoenix Suns Arena in this series and the results haven’t been close. They won 118-105 in Game 1 before winning 118-118 in Game 2.

They have been one of the best home teams throughout the season and that doesn’t bode well for Milwaukee. However, the Bucks have all the momentum and that’s always a big factor in the NBA Finals.

Despite losing the opening two games, Milwaukee bounced back under pressure and it can now steal a win on the road, which would set them up to win their first championship. The Greek Freak is healthy and playing fantastically, which is always good to see.

The biggest thing in favour for the Bucks is Khris Middleton’s return to form. He had an excellent game on Thursday and a repeat of that effort would see Milwaukee taking the 3-2 lead this weekend. However, if Middleton goes missing, it doesn’t leave the Bucks with much offense.

P.J. Tucker is used for defence only and Jrue Holiday isn’t consistent enough, so the offence falls solely on the shoulders of Middleton and Antetokounmpo. It’s not bad to have a two-headed monster, but it requires them both to play well for the Bucks to win.

Bookmakers have the Suns as $1.56 favourites and that doesn’t come as a shock. They are tough to beat at home, but there is some trepidation in the market. Bookies are respecting the form of the Bucks and we think they could take the road win.

There seems to be a touch of destiny about this Bucks team after so many years of coming up short. Some would say the same about Chris Paul and the Suns, but we believe the Bucks have championship credentials in what could be their last chance to win a chip.

Punters get excellent value at the $2.44 price and although taking the +4.5 points is a safer option, take the risk and take the Bucks to win outright.

Bet: Milwaukee Bucks to win @ $2.44

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Game 5 Prop Bets

Sportsbet has plenty of excellent prop bets for Game 5 and there are a few we like the look of.

The first is Antetokounmpo and Middleton to combine for three made three-pointers. We’re not expecting Giannis to do the bulk of this bet, but Middleton should be good from behind the three-point line. It pays $1.83 with bookmakers and those are worth taking.

We also like the same two players to score 60+ points at $1.91. They are the two primary scorers for the Bucks and they scored well over 60 points on Thursday, so there’s no reason why they can’t repeat the dose.

Value is available for punters following us with Milwaukee winning. If Giannis scores 35+ points and the Bucks win, Sportsbet pays $5. We’re happy with those odds and although it adds to the risk, the odds make it worth your while.

Punters can get quick value by betting first quarter markets. We like Milwaukee to ride momentum and come out humming, so the $2.06 to win the first quarter is right up our alley.

Daryl Curnow
About the Author: Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. Coupled with his love of US sport, Daryl’s picks have been featured on various websites around the world and viewed by millions of readers. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NBA, NFL, and college sports. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.