Tokyo Olympics Men’s 100m Sprint Predictions

The Tokyo Olympics is finally here and the race everyone wants to watch is the Men’s 100m sprint in the main stadium.

Betting has never been so popular for the event, and although Usain Bolt has retired, it’s an explosive field full of the world’s quickest athletes.

Heading the market are two Americans, followed by a South African and Canadian. The Jamaicans aren’t as dominant this season, with only Yohan Blake in the betting market.

We look at the best bets for the gold, silver and bronze medals for the headline event at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.


Men’s 100m Sprint Predictions

To Win Gold – Trayvon Bromell

The 26-year-old has emerged as the leading contender for the Men’s 100m gold. He was the first junior to break the 10-second barrier with 9.97 seconds and he has since improved on that with a 9.77 in June earlier this year.

He has improved significantly since the 2016 Olympic games when he ran eighth in the final and was disqualified in the 4 x 100m relay. He won the U.S. Olympic Trials with a 9.8 and that puts him among the top runners this season.

Bromell is ranked the quickest in the world and although his results on the world stage haven’t been impressive, he is peaking for the Olympics and the extra time has only helped his chances.

If he can run anywhere near his 9.77 posted earlier this year, or even the 9.90 he posted in 2020, Bromell has an excellent chance to take home the gold.

Bookmakers have him at $1.80 to win, which is a fair price. He is likely to shorten after the heats and we don’t think there will be much support for the opposing runners, so it could pay to lock in the value now.

Bet: Trayvon Bromell @ $1.80

To Win Silver – Akani Simbine

The South African runs like lightning and he could South Africa a rare medal in the Men’s 100m sprint.

He is a 27-year-old flyer that ran 9.84 earlier this year and he also won the 2018 Commonwealth Games gold medal at Gold Coast. Simbine’s experience winning international competitions hold him in good stead, and although there are no Americans at the Commonwealth Games, it’s still a crowning achievement.

Simbine’s best times have come wind-assisted, but he finished fifth at the 2016 Olympics when running 9.94, which put him in front of Trayvon Bromell. There is nothing wrong with that form and his fourth-place finish at the Worlds in 2019 was another solid effort.

He will need to run a career-best to finish second, but we’re happy with the $5.25 odds available. He will need to get past Ronnie Baker or Bromell for the second position, but given his experience and natural improvement, we wouldn’t be ruling out Simbine.

Punters can take the generous odds for Simbine to win the silver medal, or take him to win any medal. Bookmakers are offering $1.87 for Simbine to finish in the top three and those odds are worth including in Olympic Games multi bets.

Bet: Akani Simbine @ $5.25

To Win Bronze – Ronnie Baker

The American is on the second line of betting to win gold, but we think he could slip down to third and take home the bronze.

Baker doesn’t have much international experience and his third placing in the 60m dash at the 2018 World Indoor Championship is his best international result.

However, Baker owns seven wins on the Diamond League circuit and two of those came in 2021. He won at Stockholm and Monaco, so his results are improving and he also finished second in the U.S. Olympic Trials with a 9.85 behind Trayvon Bromell.

He can run quick times, but we’re worried about the amount of muscle he carries. Baker is built like a tank, which isn’t always ideal for sprinting. It adds power, but it means he’s carrying more muscle across the line.

It’s why we have him winning the bronze instead of the silver, but he’s talented and he shouldn’t be left out of calculations.

Bet: Ronnie Baker @ $3.60

Daryl Curnow
About the Author: Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. Coupled with his love of US sport, Daryl’s picks have been featured on various websites around the world and viewed by millions of readers. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NBA, NFL, and college sports. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.

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