We have expert betting tips for the 2020 Kentucky Derby this Sunday, which includes a full field of 18 runners.
The Kentucky Derby is usually run earlier in the year, but it is the second leg of the Triple Crown this season. Tiz The Law won the Belmont Stakes, and will be looking to add the Derby to his growing list of victories.
However, there are 17 runners trying to cause an upset and we look at the form of every runner.
2020 Kentucky Derby Best Bets
Tiz The Law @ $1.66
Best Each Way Bet:
Authentic @ $10
Max Player @ $21
Kentucky Derby Form Guide & Tips
1. Finnick The Fierce ($67)
He is coming off a seventh in the Group 2 Blue Grass Stakes behind Art Collector and that form is unlikely to stack up here.
He runs at big odds and although fierce, he is unlikely to worry this field.
2. Max Player (Best Roughie – $21)
Max Player is our best roughie based on his third placing behind Tiz The Law in the Travers Stakes. He also finished third in the Group 1 Belmont Stakes in June, so there is plenty to like about his form.
The son of Honor Code should be suited by this distance and he looks like a good each-way bet again.
3. Enforceable ($41)
Enforceable has steady form coming into this race and we thought he would be shorter in betting markets.
He finished fourth in the Blue Grass Stakes and although he is yet to face the likes of Tiz The Law and Authentic, he shouldn’t be too far away.
Consider at the long odds.
4. Storm The Court ($34)
Storm The Court won the Group 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile last year and he hasn’t won since. He has placed behind the likes of Authentic since, but his lack of winning form is concerning.
We can see why there is some betting support for this runner but winning the Kentucky Derby seems unlikely.
5. Major Fed ($41)
Major Fed has had only five starts and he is yet to win a race. He ran second in the Indiana Derby last start and we thought he would be a $101 chance this year.
$41 is too short so put him to the side.
6. King Guillermo ($26)
The son of Uncle Mo looked good when winning the Tampa Bay Derby before running second in the Arkansas Derby behind Nadal.
That form should stack up nicely and we wouldn’t be ruling out his chances of causing an upset.
7. Money Moves ($51)
It would be a Todd Pletcher special if he was to get Money Moves to win the Kentucky Derby. He has had only three starts for two wins, but he was beaten in a much lower grade last start.
He could make a nice type in the future but not for this race.
8. South Bend ($67)
South Bend is one of the more experienced runners in this field, with 12 races to his name. His most recent effort was a fourth in the Travers and he could figure in the finish.
His form prior to that placing wasn’t overly impressive, but consider on an each-way basis.
9. Mr Big News ($101)
Mr Big News isn’t big news and his odds reflect his chances of winning. He ran sixth in the Blue Grass Stakes and that isn’t the best form coming into the Derby.
10. Thousand Words ($17)
Strong money has come for Thousand Words, which defeated Honor A.P at Del Mar last start.
The Bob Baffert-trained runner has solid form coming into the Derby and he could be peaking at the right time.
The $17 is worth taking on a first-four basis.
11. Necker Island ($101)
Necker Island scored back-to-back wins in 2019 and he hasn’t won since. His form would need to improve considerably to go close in this race.
12. Sole Volante ($41)
Coming off a sixth in the Belmont Stakes, Sole Volante would need to find a few lengths. He owns four wins from eight starts, so his record isn’t poor.
We wouldn’t completely rule out his chances, but we would want better odds.
13. Attachment Rate ($41)
Attachment Rate ran second behind Art Collector last start in the Ellis Park Derby. It was a solid effort and one that shouldn’t be ignored.
If he can find improvement, he could give them something to worry about on Sunday.
14. Winning Impression ($101)
$101 is a fair price for Winning Impression, which shouldn’t live up to his name. He has yet to win from six starts and this is unlikely to be his first.
15. NY Traffic ($21)
The son of Cross Traffic ran second behind Authentic in the Haskell Stakes, which should be a good form guide.
The only concern is that he is yet to win at a top level, despite being close behind some classy types. The $21 is a touch short but he shouldn’t be far away.
16. Honor A.P ($6)
Honor A.P is the second favourite, but he was beaten by Thousand Words in the Shared Belief Stakes last time out.
However, he won the Santa Anita Derby prior to that, and it’s usually a good form guide for the Kentucky Derby.
We wouldn’t be surprised if he won, but we would want double-figure odds.
17. Tiz The Law (Best Bet – $1.66)
Tiz The Law is a class above most in this field, having posted six wins from seven starts. The Barclay Tagg-trained champion won the Belmont Stakes and Travers Stakes for fun, so his form reads well.
He has every chance of being the next Triple Crown winner, and punters agree. The $1.66 is short but he could run them into the ground on Sunday, so put him clearly on top.
18. Authentic (Best Each Way – $10)
Authentic is a genuine Kentucky Derby chance after winning four of his five starts. He won the Group 1 Haskell Stakes last start and his only defeat was a second placing in the Santa Anita Derby.
He could pose a threat to Tiz The Law, and punters are getting value odds. Take the $10 as a saver and he could run the quinella with the favourite.
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. Coupled with his love of US sport, Daryl’s picks have been featured on various websites around the world and viewed by millions of readers. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NBA, NFL, and college sports. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.