Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder 3 Predictions, Picks & Odds

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It’s the fight we have been waiting for as Tyson Fury puts his belts on the line for the third time against Deontay Wilder.

The first fight was a split draw, but the second fight ended with Fury landing a huge knockout blow. That has prompted bookmakers to make Fury the overwhelming favourite, but will Wilder come back bigger and better?

Fury vs Wilder is an intriguing fight, and together they have breathed life back into the heavyweight division.

Fury vs. Wilder 3 Fight Preview

There is no doubt Tyson Fury was the better fighter last time, and he’s yet to suffer a loss from 31 fights. His record is tough to overlook, and the only fight he didn’t win was the controversial split draw to Wilder.

The 33-year-old talks the talk, but he lives up to the hype. He has excellent technical ability, and although he’s wild – for lack of a better word, he makes it work.

Deontay Wilder is another “wild” fighter, but when his punches connect, you’ll know about it. Wilder got distracted in the second fight, and his pre-fight suit was a big deterrent. He has promised to go bigger with his pre-fight routine, but we think he should focus on the fight at hand.

Making an impressive extrance doesn’t mean much when you get knocked out, so the flashy American should put his mind on the job. When his mind is on the job, Wilder is one of the more destructive boxers on the plant.

He has insane power in his hands, and Fury knows this first hand. He got knocked down in the first fight, but showed courage to get back up.

Wilder is the more experienced boxer with 44 fights. His only loss came to Tyson Fury, but he has beaten the likes Luis Ortiz, Chris Arreola and Dominic Breazeale, so he hasn’t dodged the good fighters.

This fight all comes down to who wants it more. Wilder is the older fighter at 35, so he’s running out of time to get his belts back. This could be his last chance, so he might take it.

Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder 3 Betting Pick

We don’t see much value betting on Tyson Fury at $1.30. It’s a short quote, and although he brings momentum into this fight, he has had health concerns.

He wasn’t fully fit a week ago due to an illness, so he’s a risk in the late rounds. This is where Wilder can dominate and unleash his power. He doesn’t need to go headhunting in the first few rounds, because his legs shouldn’t give out as quickly this time around.

Punters get much better value with Wilder at $3.30. We would expect him to win at least three out of every 10 fights with Fury, so punters get excellent value and we can’t turn it down.

For more value, punters should entertain Wilder by KO/TKO, which pays $3.60. If Wilder wins, it’s unlikely to come via a decision, so he needs the knockout.

He has 12 rounds to land the telling blow, and we like his chances in the late rounds. Take Wilder by KO in Round 10 at $41. It’s a generous price, and although it comes with risk, it’s worth having a small wager on at those odds.

Sportsbet is running an interesting option with Fury to get knocked down in any rounds of 1, 5, 9 or 12. He is every chance of hitting the canvas, and considering the option pays $9, it’s worth a nibble. Alternatively, punters get $2.88 for Fury to be knocked down at any stage of the fight, which is also worth taking.

Bet: Deontay Wilder @ $3.30

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About Daryl Curnow

After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA - English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism. Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. Coupled with his love of US sport, Daryl's picks have been featured on various websites around the world and viewed by millions of readers. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 - with a focus on horse racing, NBA, NFL, and college sports. When he's not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.