It’s the semi-final stages of the 2021 Australian Open Tennis on Wednesday and Thursday, and we have predictions for Djokovic vs. Karatsev and Medvedev vs. Tsitsipas.
A place in the Australian Open Final awaits the winner and we preview both games to find the winner.
Novak Djokovic is at a short quote to beat the unknown Russian, but a much closer game is expected on Friday.
2021 Men’s Australian Open Semi-Finals
Novak Djokovic vs. Aslan Karatsev
Despite dropping the opening set against Gregor Dimitrov, Aslan Karatsev battled back to take the 3-1 win.
The relatively unknown Russian has exceeded expectations at the Australian Open, but he’ll need a minor miracle to get past the world’s best player.
Novak Djokovic has created headlines for the wrong reasons this year, but that hasn’t had an effect on his tennis. He overcame Alex Zverev in the quarterfinals and that was a quality win, which holds him in good stead for this contest.
Djokovic claimed to have torn a muscle earlier in the tournament when struggling to beat an unranked player, but he’s clearly not playing with a torn muscle.
It added to the off-court drama caused by Novak, and he hasn’t gained any new fans with his behaviour. However, it won’t worry him in the slightest when he takes on Aslan Karatsev on Thursday night.
Karatsev is happy to be in this position and he has yet to face Djokovic throughout his career. The 112th-ranked player has dropped only three sets throughout the tournament.
That compares well to the five dropped by Novak, so punters could be getting a good price for Karatsev to keep this game close.
Bookmakers have Djokovic 3-0 as the $1.60 favourite, and they’re expecting the number one player to win in straight sets. However, we think the Russian can keep this game close and possibly take one set off Djokovic.
Karatsev is paying $2.15 to win a set and those odds shouldn’t be overlooked. He is playing well enough to take one set off the champion and punters get a fair price.
The current game handicap is +8.5 games and we’re favouring Karatsev to cover the spread. If Djokovic wins in straight sets, it could be a 6-4 6-4 6-3 result, which covers the spread for punters.
Bet: Aslan Karatsev +8.5
Daniil Medvedev vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
Daniil Medvedev cruised past fellow countryman, Andrey Rublev, in the quarterfinals on Wednesday. The 3-0 win sent signals to the rest of the Australian Open contenders that he is a top contender.
The Russian has been steady throughout the tournament and he had only one scare against Krajinovic in the third round. He dropped two sets in that contest, but he has rebounded with consecutive 3-0 victories.
Stefanos Tsitsipas battled from a 2-0 deficit to beat Rafael Nadal on Wednesday night. It was an incredible comeback from the Greek player and it holds him in good stead for the rest of the tournament.
The only worry is that he will be tired following the five-set contest, but he’s a fit player who thrives on the demanding conditions of the Australian Open.
Medvedev and Tsitsipas have met on six occasions throughout their careers and the Russian won five. He scored wins in the first five meetings before Tsitsipas scored a 2-0 win at the ATP Finals in 2019.
A lot of water has gone under the bridge since then, so it’s not the best form guide for punters.
Bookmakers have Medvedev as the $1.40 favourite, which is fair given his quarter-final win. The 3-0 victory gives him plenty of time to rest before Friday’s game, and although the odds are short, they are worth taking.
Bet: Daniil Medvedev to win
After graduating from the University of Auckland (BA – English), Daryl was thrown into the world of sports and horse racing journalism.
Having worked as a racing journalist for two years, he decided to move into the online world of horse racing and sports writing. Coupled with his love of US sport, Daryl’s picks have been featured on various websites around the world and viewed by millions of readers. After years of honing his craft, Daryl became a professional punter in 2009 – with a focus on horse racing, NBA, NFL, and college sports. When he’s not working, Daryl tries to avoid making bogeys on the golf course.